Obama overwhelmingly wins Mississippi, following on his win in Wyoming and eventual delegate win in Texas. This erases Clinton's gains from Ohio, and then some.
Obama leads Clinton in the overall delegate count 1,597-1,470, but neither candidate is close to the 2,025 delegates needed to clinch the Democratic presidential nomination.The press forgot the campaign for a couple of days in the face of an irresistible sex scandal. This offered a much needed break to pundits and public alike who took the opportunity to muse aloud "just how do you go about paying a high-priced prostitute?" In the case of many male pundits, it sounded creepily like they were considering it themselves and just hadn't worked out the logistics.
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The general consensus is that Obama will get the nomination if he finishes the primary season with a lead in states won, delegates, and popular vote. He'll probably win the first easily, the second respectably, and the third barely.
If Clinton manages a narrow victory in the popular vote and completes her sweep of large states with Pennsylvania she'll have a stronger case to present to the superdelegates. And then things will probably get messy.
I don't quite buy Clinton's argument that winning most or all of the large states makes her a stronger candidate against McCain. It seems like a false choice to me. Just because she has received more popular votes than Obama in those states doesn't necessarily mean Obama wouldn't also defeat the Republican candidate in the general election. I think either one of them could win if they stop playing into McCain's hands by focusing on things like their lack of experience.
Yeah, I agree with what Tom Daschle said this weekend:
"It, it's, it's an argument. I wouldn't concede it's very strong, Tim."
Well, I like Colbert's idea (thanks for the tip, Julie, it was hilarious!) -- group together some of Obama's states so he has large state wins. Because it's not the NUMBER of people that vote for you, but the size of the boundaries around them that's important.
Yeah, Colbert's show has been fantastic lately. His recent review of McGovern's White House runs worked well as both history and comedy.
I'm beginning to wonder if this DNC is going to be commentated on by 'Mean' Gene Oakerland, with the highlight being a cage match between Clinton and Obama.
Post on Daily Kos abotu that big state argument:
http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/3/12/12552/6475/923/475043
Summary: Going by the polls, Obama has a very slight electoral vote lead over McCain in the "big states."
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